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Trump’s Hires Will Set Course of His Presidency

Trump’s Hires Will Set Course of His Presidency



Stephen K. Bannon, fourth from left, and Reince Priebus, second from right, during Donald J. Trump’s victory speech. Both are on a short list for chief of staff, according to people close to the campaign.CreditStephen Crowley/The New York Times

WASHINGTON — “Busy day planned in New York,” President-elect
Donald J. Trump said on Twitter on Friday morning, two days after his astonishing victory. “Will soon be making some very important
 decisions on the people who will be running our government!”
If anything, that understates the gravity of the personnel choices
Mr. Trump and his transition team are weighing.
Rarely in the history of the American presidency has the exercise of choosing people to fill jobs had such a far-reaching impact on the
 nature and priorities of an incoming administration. Unlike most new presidents, Mr. Trump comes into office with no elective-office
experience, no coherent political agenda and no bulging binder
of policy proposals. And he has left a trail of inflammatory, often contradictory, statements on issues from immigration and
race to terrorism and geopolitics.
In such a chaotic environment, serving a president who is in many
 ways a tabula rasa, the appointees to key White House jobs like
chief of staff and cabinet posts like secretary of state, defense secretary
 and Treasury secretary could wield outsize influence. Their selection
will help determine whether the Trump administration governs like the firebrand Mr. Trump was on the campaign trail or the pragmatist he
 often appears to be behind closed doors.
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“A new president is really vulnerable and open to all sorts of influence
 by strong-willed advisers,” said Robert Dallek, a presidential historian. “Trump’s appointments over the next six weeks will be very significant because they can show whether he wants to create some unity in the country, or whether he really intends to deliver on his ideas.”
One of the influences on Mr. Trump could come from an unlikely
quarter: President Obama. Meeting in the Oval Office on Thursday,
 Mr. Trump
 said he looked forward “to dealing with the president in the future, including counsel.” A day later, in interviews with The Wall Street Journal and “60 Minutes,’’ he said he had decided to retain elements
 of Mr. Obama’s landmark health care law after their conversation —
 a hint, at least, that he might govern less radically than he had
campaigned.
White House officials expressed hope that Mr. Obama would be
 able to impress on Mr. Trump the importance of other parts of his
 legacy, like the Paris climate accord and the Iran nuclear deal. The
 two will have the kind of peer-to-peer relationship that only fellow presidents can have — something that administration officials hope
 will appeal to Mr. Trump’s pride, as well as his desire to succeed,
 and make him view Mr. Obama less as a rival.
They conceded, though, that there was little historical precedent for
 such a relationship, especially when the incoming president had
 ousted the incumbent’s party after such an acrid campaign, and
 that Mr. Trump and Mr. Obama were never likely to become buddies.
Mr. Trump is drawing mainly from a pool of trusted aides and
supporters, according to people familiar with the campaign. On
Friday, he named three of his grown children — Ivanka, Donald
 Jr. and Eric — as well as his son-in-law, Jared Kushner, to his
 transition team, an arrangement that rang alarm bells in Washington because
 they will also manage his businesses. The Trump family, it is clear,
 will wield unusual power in the composition of an administration
that is
 already shaping up as remarkable for its clannishness.
Even within Mr. Trump’s tight circle, however, there are sharp
 differences in ideology, background and temperament that could
 play out in how the White House deals with Congress and how
 the United States deals with the rest of the world.
Perhaps the deepest schism is between Stephen K. Bannon, the
 conservative provocateur and media entrepreneur who was
 Mr. Trump’s campaign chairman, and Reince Priebus, the
 Republican Party chairman who came to terms with Mr. Trump’s candidacy.
 Both are on a short list for chief of staff, according to people close
to the campaign, and whoever is chosen, the other is likely to get
 another senior White House post.
Each would bring a radically different approach to a job often
 called the second-most powerful in Washington — gatekeeper
 to the president and often the first and last person he sees in
 the Oval Office.
Mr. Bannon, the executive chairman of the conservative website
Breitbart News and onetime Goldman Sachs executive, is an avowed
 enemy of House Speaker Paul D. Ryan. An anti-establishment verbal
 bomb thrower with ties to the alt-right movement, Mr. Bannon may
 have little interest in compromising with the Republican-controlled Congress under its current leadership. He is an unabashed critic of the current immigration system and repeatedly encouraged Mr. Trump to appeal to the party’s base in the closing days of the campaign with arguments against globalization.
Mr. Priebus, a party loyalist who tried to reconcile Republican leaders
with their renegade nominee, would most likely build bridges to
Mr. Ryan and other Republican leaders. A Washington insider
 with a reputation for being easy to work with, Mr. Priebus would
 operate a more traditional White House, though given Mr. Trump’s flamboyant personality, traditional is a relative term.


Meeting with President Obama in the Oval Office on Thursday, Mr. Trump said he looked forward
 “to dealing with the president in the future, including counsel.”

In some ways, Mr. Bannon and Mr. Priebus are proxies for the larger
battle over what kind of president Mr. Trump will be. Some former Republican officials held out hope that Mr. Trump would be
receptive to moderating influences, but others worried that he
would simply listen to the last person he spoke to.
“You always have that tension between what he said to get elected
and what he actually believes,” said John D. Negroponte, a former
 director of national intelligence under President George W. Bush.
 “How selective will his amnesia be?”
Mr. Negroponte, a Republican who supported Hillary Clinton
 in the campaign, said he could imagine senior members of
Mr. Trump’s National Security Council warning him about
the dangers of “cutting loose countries from our nuclear umbrella,
” which Mr. Trump threatened during the campaign to do in
 reference to Japan and South Korea.

But there could be a parallel battle for Mr. Trump’s soul in foreign
 policy. Lt. Gen. Michael T. Flynn, a retired career intelligence
officer who is Mr. Trump’s closest foreign-policy adviser, is a
 candidate for national security adviser, according to an internal
 transition document obtained by the conservative news site
 The Daily Caller, as is Stephen J. Hadley, who served in that
 capacity for Mr. Bush.
Mr. Hadley, who might also be considered for defense secretary,
 pushed Mr. Bush to undertake the troop surge in Iraq and is
 closely identified with the military interventionism of that
administration. A key figure in the Republican foreign-policy
establishment, Mr. Hadley had a hand in Mr. Bush’s
 second inaugural address, in which he called for the United States
 to be an evangelist in spreading democracy — something
Mr. Trump has flatly rejected.
General Flynn, a registered Democrat, has criticized the
neoconservative policies of the Bush administration for leading
 the United States into quagmires like Iraq. “They’ve gotten us
 into mess after mess for the wrong reasons,” he said, echoing
 Mr. Trump’s harsh criticism of Mr. Bush during the Republican
 debates. And like Mr. Trump, General Flynn is withering about
 the foreign-policy establishment of both parties.
It may seem counterintuitive for Mr. Trump to recruit a Bush
administration veteran. But Peter D. Feaver, who worked on
President Bush’s national security council and now teaches
at Duke University, pointed out that Mr. Obama had
 campaigned “vociferously against the Iraq surge, and then
asked the architect of the surge” — Robert M. Gates —
 “to stay.” Mr. Gates, as defense secretary, later persuaded
 Mr. Obama to deploy a similar surge in Afghanistan.
“You can say one thing in campaigns, and mean it,” Mr. Feaver said,
 “and in personnel matters, do the opposite.”
The contest for top economic posts does not expose the same
ideological fault lines as those for the White House or national
 security jobs. But it does raise red flags, given the anti-establishment,
 anti-Wall Street sentiment that Mr. Trump stoked during the
campaign.
Several of the candidates on his short list for Treasury secretary come
from Wall Street, including Steven Mnuchin, a former Goldman Sachs partner who was the finance chairman of Mr. Trump’s campaign, and
 Jamie Dimon, the chief executive of JPMorgan Chase. People close to
 Mr. Dimon said he was not interested in the job.
Another candidate is a conservative Texas congressman, Jeb
Hensarling, who has called for the repeal the Dodd-Frank Act,
 the banking regulations passed after the financial crisis,
during Mr. Obama’s first term.
The least predictable source of influence on Mr. Trump remains
 Mr. Obama. For all their differences, and the bitter words they
 flung at each other during the campaign, the two share traits. Both
won the presidency as outsiders, and both hold their party’s
 foreign-policy establishment in contempt.
With Mr. Trump lacking elective-office experience or the political
coterie that accompanies establishment candidates to Washington, administration officials said Mr. Obama would probably spend more
 time with him than was typical for other incoming and outgoing
presidents.

And Mr. Trump, some outsiders predicted, would respect the advice
 of a president 15 years younger, whose path to the White House
 was nearly as improbable as his.
“If you’re looking at things from a hiring point of view, as Trump does, Obama could have done anything he wanted,” Douglas Brinkley,
 a professor of history at Rice University, said in reference to
Mr. Obama’s career options. “That has to impress Trump.”
-------------------
Maggie Haberman contributed reporting from New York, and Jackie Calmes from Washington.

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